Today s game recommended La Liga 5 series Celta vs. Vallecarlo (with additional games scores)

1. Comparison of the situation in the standings and the fighting intention

Celta (7th place, 52 points): It is only 2 points away from the qualification zone of the European Union, and the fighting intention is strong. The team has strong home fighting power, with 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 10 La Liga games, but its state has fluctuated significantly recently, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 5 rounds. After a 1-0 away victory over Real Sociedad in the last round, the problem of defense injury was further exposed. The offensive firepower is stable (1.56 goals per game, 8th in La Liga), but frequent loopholes on the defensive end (1.5 goals per game, 13th in La Liga), especially left-back Marcos Alonso has a red card suspension, which may weaken the wing defense.

Vallecano (8th place, 48 points): Relegation is worry-free but lacks a clear goal. He has only won 2 games in the last 9 rounds. He drew 2-2 with Real Betis at home in the last round, showing fatigue on both offense and defense. The away performance is still good (2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 6 games), but the offensive efficiency is inefficient (only 4 goals in the last 6 games), and the defense has declined recently (conceded in consecutive goals in the last 4 rounds). Main goalkeeper Batala (shoulder injury) and central defender Muming (knee injury) are absent, and the defense is replaced by youth training young player Legena, and the gap in assisting defense is obvious.

2. Tactical style and core players

Celta: mainly plays 4-3-3 or 4-4-2 formations, relying on midfield control and wing breakthroughs. Iglesias (10 goals, 6 assists) and Aspas (12 goals) scored nearly half of the goals, with midfielder Beltran (2.8 interceptions per game) taking charge of the offense and defensive transition, but Ori Oscarson (muscular contusion) missing could undermine the wing breakout ability. The defense was led by Starfelt (3.1 clearances per game), but Marcos Alonso's suspension caused a prominent left-wing defense risk.

Vallecano: Use a 5-4-1 or 4-4-2 formation, emphasizing defensive counterattack and midfield strangling. Core forwards Garcia (4 goals) and Carmelo (6 goals) have to take on the offensive responsibilities, but injuries from midfielder Terrejo (1.8 interceptions per game) may affect the organization’s tandem. The defense is composed of Cavrera (3.1 steals per game) and Le Genène (youth training young player), but goalkeeper Batala is missing, the stability of substitute goalkeeper Cortova is questionable.

3. Injuries and lineup impact

Celta: Left-back Marcos Alonso is suspended, and the left-side defense is led by young player Damian Rodriguez (defense score 5.8), and may be targeted by the opponent. After Ori Oscarson (muscular contusion) was out, the wide breakout relied on Swade Berry (4 goals), but the latter was in modest form recently.

Vallecano: Goalkeeper Batala and central defender Muming are absent, and the defense is forced to use youth training young player Legena, and the success rate of high-altitude top-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-squa If midfielder Terejo (injury) is absent, the midfield interception ability will be greatly weakened, and Mangala (3.1 steals per game) will be responsible for the defensive barrier responsibility alone.

4. Historical confrontations and psychological factors

Celta has won 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 10 matches. He won 2-0 away in the first leg of the season, and Iglesias and Aspas each scored a goal. Celta has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in his last five home games against Vallecano, with a significant psychological advantage, but recent home weakness (20% win rate) may offset some of the advantages.

5. Key data and win-loss balance

Offensive efficiency: Celta averaged 13.8 shots per game (8th in the league), with a positive rate of 43%; Vallecano averaged 11.8 shots per game (13th in the league), with a positive rate of 40%. Celta has scored nine goals in its last five home games, while Vallecano has only four goals in his last six away games.

Defensive stability: Celta averaging 1.44 goals per game at home, and Vallecano averaging 1.00 goals per game away. Vallecano has been scored by his opponent in four last five league games, and his ability to handle against the wind is worrying.

Settings game: Celta's set-piece score rate is 39% (3rd in the league), Vallecano's success rate is 54%, but Mu Ming's threat is greatly reduced after he is absent. The confrontation between Starfelt and Legener may be the winner.

6. Prediction and score reference

Comprehensively, Celta's home field advantage and wing impact may offset the potential for defense, while Vallecano's defensive resilience and counterattack efficiency are more threatening. Be wary of Celta's defensive collapse or Vallecano using set pieces to steal points. Based on the current data, it is optimistic that the home team can directly score three points. Reference scores: 2-1, 3-1, 3-2

Valencia vs. Athletic Bilbao: 1-0, 1-1, 2-1

Barcelona vs. Villarreal: 2-0, 2-1, 3-1

Sevilla vs. Real Madrid: 1-1, 1-2, 0-1

Atletico Madrid vs. Betis: 1-1, 1-2, 0-1