Saturday 006 US professional team Washington United vs Chicago Flame

1. Game background and points situation

Nature of the event: Round 18 of the MAF regular season, held at the Audi Stadium at Washington United at 07:30 on June 8.

Points Ranking

Washington United: 4 wins, 6 draws, 7 losses, 18 points, 12th in the Eastern Conference (7 points away from the playoffs).

Chicago Flames: 6 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses, 22 points, 11th in the Eastern Conference (3 points behind the playoffs in 2 rounds less).

The key to fighting spirit: Washington United needs to end the home decline and strive for the playoffs; Chicago Flames can win by approaching the top eight with their advantage in fewer games.

2. Comparison of recent states between the two sides with offense and defense

1. Washington United: The home court is sluggish, the offense is paralyzed

The offensive is weak: only 8 goals in the last 10 home games, and 5 games were blocked; the average of 0.94 goals per game in the season (second to the bottom in the East).

Home Decline: 5 consecutive home games were not won (4 draws and 1 loss), 3 of which were not scored.

Defensive resilience: Good control over home goals conceded (10 goals conceded in the last 10 games and 3 clean sheets), but the overall defense line is unstable (conceding 29 goals in the season, with the third most in the East).

Morale turning point: A 2-1 surprise victory over Cincinnati in the last round, ending 7 games unwind, and morale rebounded.

2. Chicago Flames: Strong away game, strong offense, weak defense,

Offensive explosion: 17 goals in the last 6 games (2.8 goals per game), striker Quper leads the scorer list in 17 games with 12 goals.

Efficient away games: 5 wins and 4 losses away this season (win rate 55.6%), 3 wins in the last 4 away games and averaging 3 goals per game.

Defensive loophole: Conceded 28 goals in the season (1.87 goals per game), only 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games, and the away defense is prone to collapse (such as losing to Nashville 0-7).

3. Lineup and Injury Impact

1. Washington United: The forward core is missing

No. 1 scorer Benteke (absent from ankle sprain for a long time);

Midfielder Hopkins (organizer core), defender McNaughton is missing.

Tactical Reliance: Only veteran Fontas is left on the front line, and the creativity of the midfield has dropped sharply, and it is necessary to rely on crosses from the side + set ball to break the deadlock.

2. Chicago Flames: The lineup is neat

Main health: Only substitute defender Tran is injured, and the forward Quper + midfielder Shaqiri is in full swing.

Tactical advantages: focus on 4-2-3-1 formation, relying on the role of Quper's fulcrum + rapid advancement on the wing, the set ball score accounts for 30%.

4. Historical confrontations and psychological games

Washington has the advantage: 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the last 10 confrontations, 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss at home in the last 5 games.

The first leg of this season: Chicago drew 2-2 at home on March 2, and Washington fell behind and tied twice.

Psychological hints: Washington's unbeaten rate at home match is high, but the recent gap in state has weakened its psychological advantage.

5. Key factors for winning and losing

Washington's defensive counterattack: compressing backcourt space to limit Quper, using winger Pirani's speed to sneak attack Chicago's weak left area.

Chicago's set-piece offense and defense: Washington has weak air defense (center-back average height of 1.83m), and Quper's header has a great threat (scoring 5 headers this season).

Stealing at the beginning: Chicago led all the last six games and halftimes. If the goal was scored earlier, it would suppress Washington's morale; on the contrary, if it could not be defeated for a long time, it might be dragged into a war of attrition by Washington.

6. Results prediction

1. Winning tendency

Chicago's flame win rate is 50%: state crush + front fire support + Washington's main force is injuring, away win is the first choice.

The probability of a draw is 30%: Washington's home defensive resilience + inertia of a draw in the face (3 draws in the last 5 encounters).

Washington's winning rate is 20%: It depends on home momentum + Chicago's defense line collapses, and the probability is relatively low.

2. Score prediction

The most likely scenario: Chicago attacked with a strong attack from the door, Washington relied on set pieces, and the winner and defeat in the second half were decided.

3. Recommended score

1-2 (Chicago wins): Qupel scores, Washington wins his face with a set piece.

1-1 (draw): Washington Iron Barrel Forecasting works, Chicago's forward efficiency declines.

Anti-cold remedy 0-2: If Washington's offense continues to be silent, Chicago may have a clean sheet away.