Almost Hachimura s single change! 3D defender joins the Lakers? This deal is crazy
After the NBA free agent market opened, Jack Laravia joined the Los Angeles Lakers for 2 years and $12 million. What are the characteristics of Laravia? Explanation point 1: three points. 369 of the 136 games in his career have been from outside the three-point line. It accounts for 50%, three-point rate of 37%, combined with 203's height and the main position of the fourth position - a total of 2569 minutes of appearances, accounting for 47% of the position of the fourth position. He can be said to be a space-type player of Markkanin and Love. Explanation point 2: Defense. The real positive and negative value of defense in my career has been 0.4. The split is 0.6 in the Grizzlies period and -0.2 in the Kings period. Obviously, the defensive end has deterrence but lacks stability. Overall, Laravia is a number four with space attributes but lacks stability on the defensive end. Based on this characteristic, I think it can replace Hachimura to a certain extent. First, Hachimura's characteristics are strong offense and weak defense - the true positive and negative value of career is 0.1, and the true positive and negative value of defense is -1.1. Laravia is relatively balanced in offense and defense - more like Finney Smith - with a main shot on the offensive end, and can chase and defend small-sized No. 4 or even No. 5 on the defensive end. To put it bluntly, Laravia can do what Hachimura can do on both offense and defense. From this perspective, it is not difficult to understand why Pelinka has been selling Hachimura this summer - involving Wiggins and Kessler transactions. In fact, I think if there is a good trading choice, it is not that we cannot give up Hachimura Shizuo - one to strengthen the team, and the other to face pressure to renew the contract in the year of the contract. Speaking of this, according to the US media Sports Illustrated, the Lakers and the Trail Blazers are negotiating a 3-for-1 deal. Specifically, the Lakers sent Hachimura Shiraki, Vincent and Kneckett to get Holiday. Considering that Vincent and Kneckett's transaction value are not very valuable, this potential transaction is like Hachimura's single-handed transaction for Holiday. For Holiday, in terms of data, I think it is a 3D defender. First, in the 34,159 minutes of his career, he played the number one position and 31% played the number two position. Just like Irving, Mitchell and others, he is a double-energy guard. Second, with a career three-point shooting of 31%, and a three-point shooting rate of 37%. Every time the three-pointer is shot from outside the three-pointer line and the efficiency is close to 40%. It can be said that it can be summarized as the elite shooter level. Third, in his 16-year career, he has been selected into the Best Defensive Team 6 times - 3 times each of the First Team and 2nd Team. However, even so, in my opinion, this transaction is crazy, mainly reflected in the following two points. First, efficiency decreases. Holiday's declined significantly in the just-concluded 24-25 season, including real shooting rate and assist rate, hit a new low. For example, the real offensive plus or negative value of -0.1 is the lowest since the rookie season. To put it more, it is inevitable that Holiday, who is already 34 years old, will go downhill. In other words, it is unknown whether the new season can maintain its current level. Second, big contract. Even this summer, Holiday still has a three-year, $100 million contract. Relatively speaking, I think the first point is the main reason. First of all, if the efficiency is guaranteed, it can bring positive impact to the team. The Lakers are not afraid of spending money. If you are anxious, you have to complete the contract renewal with Doncic in advance - although the two are not comparable, the purpose of spending money is the same. But as I said just now, it is inevitable that Holiday will decline due to his age. Secondly, as mentioned earlier, Holiday's real offensive plus-minus value of -0.1 is basically a side effect on the offensive end. On the other hand, Hachimura Shizuo, although the defensive end is average, the offensive end is still effective for the Lakers. Furthermore, there is a three-year, $100 million contract that has played a "reverse" boost, which to be precise, makes Holiday very cost-effective. In summary, "crazy" is reflected in Holiday's low cost-effectiveness, and even if you exchange Hachimura for singles, you will basically lose money. In this way, the Lakers' deal not only did not improve the team's immediate combat power or even reduced.
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