[Tactical Analysis] 3 strings: Mexico has a high winning rate in the Golden Cup final, is there a high chance of Elfsburg winning? (with sweeping)

Sun 007 Ruichao Zogadons vs. Dygefos

Match time: 2025-07-06 22:30

Injury information:

Zogadons

Bentson Defender Main force

King injury in August 2023, with a steady defense but slow turn. It is expected to return in mid-July 2025, with a muscle strain in June 2025, with accurate passes, and absent for 4 weeks, Fallenius Forward Fleet in May 2025, with ankle fracture, outstanding heading ability, season reimbursement

Biconelli Goalkeeper Substitute

shoulder surgery in April 2025, quick save response, recovery period of 6 months

Degfosh

Vukoevich Forward, the number one scorer

June 2025, the ligament torn in June 2025, the sharp scorer, expected to return in August, Lin Glenn, the main player

cumulative yellow cards suspended for 1 game, speed winger, released on July 7, Olson, midfielder, offense and defense hub

red card suspension for 2 games, interception, tough, come back on July 14, guard, guard with knife, guard with red 3 games suspended for 3 games, set pieces threatened, missed until the end of July

Jurgich Forward Substitute

Achilles tendonitis in March 2025, with strong impact, long-term absence

Prediction starter and tactical analysis

Zogatons (4-3-3 ball control leading)

Goalkeeper: Nulm (No. 1)

Defender: Tappet (No. 3), Norbin (No. 5), Karsson (No. 17), Weiketosson (No. 20)

Midfielders: Fendel (core offensive midfield), Lalet (No. 8), Holmbery (No. 18)

Forwards: Kurbanli (new center), Va (wind), Gunnarsson (No. 15)

Degefosh (4-2-3-1 defensive counterattack)

Goalkeeper: Fossel (No. 25)

Defenders: Diabi (No. 2), Pikaleinen (No. 5), Olsen (No. 7), Lindel (No. 12)

Midfielders: Grevios (No. 11), Basum (No. 20)

Offensive midfielders: Lafferty (No. 10), Gilmay (No. 8), Wenji (No. 16)

Forwards: Farage (No. 19, No. 1 scorer, 6 goals in the season)

Key and tactical game of victory and loss

Zogatons

Tactical features: dominate the ball with a 4-3-3 formation, midfielders Lalet and Holmbery are responsible for the connection, and Fendel forwards to create a threat; winger V uses speed to break through and cross, and Kurbanli has outstanding ability to grab points (height 183cm). The ball possession rate in the last five games has exceeded 58%, but the offensive efficiency fluctuates (only 1.2 goals per game)

Defensive weakness: The high-level defense line is easily hit by counterattacks, and 2 points were lost due to set pieces in the last three games.

Degfosh

Tactical features: adopt a 4-2-3-1 formation, double midfielders protect the defense line, forward Farage counterattacks with his speed (2.3 breakthroughs per game), and midfielder Lafferty passes the ball accurately (success rate of 82%). However, the overall offense is weak, and only scored 1 goal in the last three away games

Defensive loopholes: the defense on the wing is loose, and 15 passes per game per game; the success rate of high-altitude ball top is only 43% (third from the bottom in the league)

Event highlights:

Midfield control battle

Zogatons' midfield pass control (450 passes per game) If the double midfielder (Grevios averages 4.1 steals per game), it can dominate the rhythm of the game; on the contrary, if the ball is intercepted and counterattacked, Faraj's speed may threaten the home team's defense line

Wing Wa (2.1 key passes per game) will face Dygefosh's left-back Olson (slow speed), and this side may become The home team's breakthrough point; Diabi assists frequently on the right, but the gap behind him is easy to be used

set ball offense and defense

Zogadons' set ball score rate is 12% (4th in the league), while Dygadons' high-altitude defense is weak (the other defenders outside Pikalein are less than 185cm tall), the home team's corner kick/free kick may lock in the victory

win/lose balance

Zogadons' advantage: home winning rate is 80% (only 1 loss in the season), strength suppression; Dygadons' hidden dangers: away winning rate is only 22%, and 2 wins and 8 losses in the last 10 confrontations

Prediction direction: Zogadons' high probability of controlling the field and suppressing it, and if they score in the first half, it may win a big victory; if they can't defeat for a long time, Dygadons' counterattack and steal points are possible7M