[Tactical Analysis] 3 strings: Ain needs to break the goal drought, and Real Madrid needs to improve offensive efficiency! (with sweep)

Thursday 001 Club World Cup Juventus VS Manchester City

Match time: 2025-06-26 03:00

Injury information:

Juventus

Manuel Locatelli

Midfielder, core midfielder, outstanding organization and scheduling capabilities.

Cause of injury: ankle sprain (pre-match training in June 2025)

Manchester City

Gralish Midfielder breaks through the core of the organization and has stable ball control; new injuries recently, and the expected return is determined

Kovacic Midfielder

offensive and defensive conversion hub, with wide running coverage; new injuries recently, and are expected to return on August 6. Rico Lewis The defender

all-round defender, both offense and defense; he was suspended directly for red card due to the first match of the opponent's face with a shoe stud hitting the opponent's face. The prediction starter and tactical analysis

Juventus (3-4-3 wing attack)

goalkeeper: Digregorio

defender: Savona, Kalulu, Gatti

Midfielder: Via (right wingback), Locatelli (back midfielder), Toulam (center forward), Cambiaso (left wingback)

Front court: Kuppmenas (front midfielder), Ilditz (shadow forward), Muani (center forward)

Manchester City (4-2-3-1 ball control leading)

goalkeeper: Ortega (rotary goalkeeper, Ederson may rest)

Guards: Nunes (right back), Gvadior, Dias/Husanov, Ait Nuri (left back)

Midfielders: Rodri (back midfielder), Gundogan/Lindez, B-Se (front midfielder)

Forwards: Haaland (center), Foden (left wing), Bob/Echeviri (right wing)

Key and tactical game of victory and loss

Juventus

Defence: Compress the space in the middle, limit Haaland to catch the ball, use Gati's confrontation and Kalulu's mobility to deal with high-level pressing

Offense: Rely on Ilditz's breakthrough (this season's Serie A king) and Muani's speed counterattack, and wingbacks Costa and Cambiaso crossed to create a threat. If Kossen is absent, the counterattack efficiency may decline

Manchester City's ball possession: the average ball possession rate is more than 65%, relying on Rodri's long pass dispatch and the rib penetration of the B seat

offense: Ait Nuri on the left intervening (4 outs of his debut + 7 confrontations), Foden cuts inward and Haaland to form an encirclement; Nunes on the right needs to make up for the offensive and defensive gap of Lewis' absence

hidden danger: The gap on the side of the three defenders exposed, and Juventus' counterattack may target Nunes' side

Winning points:

The strategic significance of the battle for the first place:

Winners will avoid the top spot Real Madrid in Group H (high probability), and the loser may encounter the defending champion in the 1/8 finals. Manchester City must win to surpass Juventus (same point but few goals), Juventus has a draw and is the top player duel:

Haaland vs Gatti: Haaland has three goals in the last two games, but Gatti's success rate of high-altitude top scorer has reached 75%. Barb shots have threatened Manchester City

Ilditz vs Rodri: Yilditz's breakthrough (1 goal and 1 assist in the last round) needs to break through Rodri's interception (3.1 steals per game)

Winning and losing balance factors:

Juventus advantage: 3 wins and 2 draws in history, unbeaten psychologically; high defensive counterattack efficiency (9 goals in 2 games in the group stage)

Manchester City advantage: deep rotation maintains physical fitness, Haaland and B seats return to the offensive end qualitatively (6-0 Ain in the last round)

variables: If Kok Sesan is absent, weakens Juventus' explosive point; Manchester City Nunes' defense may become a counterattack loophole

Forecast direction: Manchester City controls the ball and attacks mainly, but you need to be vigilant, and Juventus is based on defense and waits for an opportunity to attack. If Manchester City breaks the deadlock as soon as possible (such as Haaland's blitz), they may suppress and win; if they cannot defeat for a long time, Juventus counterattack or creates a draw (1-1 or 1-2)

Thursday 002 Club World Cup Casablanca loves VS Abu Dhabi Ain

Match time: 2025-06-26 03:00

Injury information:

Casablanca

Ayoub Boucheta

left back, main defender, defends on the wing, and assists actively.

Cause of injury: Muscle strain during training (before the game in June 2025)

Expected return: Absent from this game, the time for return is not determined

Ein

At present, no public information mentions that Ain's team has injured players.

Predictive starter and tactical analysis

Casablanca (4-2-3-1 Deep defense)

Goalkeeper: Bennabid

Defender: Ashraf (right), Hakas (center), Benatia (center), Mazravi (left)

Midfielder: Amrabat (back midfielder) + Ali (back midfielder)

Front court: Mohamed Reyhi (right), Samuel Auburn (front midfielder), Racine (left)

Forward: Al Arabi

Ain (5-3-2 defensive counterattack)

Goalkeeper: Isa

Defender: Al Hamadi (right), Eric (center-back), Park Rongyu (center-back), Al Hashmi (center-back), Al Baroshi (left)

Midfielder: Ka Yo Kandelo (back midfielder), Bandar Sabach (back midfielder), Raba (front midfielder)

Forwards: Rahimi (left), Suheer (right)

Key and tactical game of victory and loss

Casablanca

Defensive counterattack + wing attack: adopt a compact 4-2-3-1 formation, with double midfielder (Loch, Mutaraji) focusing on interception, averaging 13 steals per game (Moroe Super Mid-level). The offense relies on the speed of wingers Amrabat and Manula. Combined with long passes, he found single arrow Auburn (height 181cm), but his finishing ability is weak (only 11 goals in the last 10 games)

Weakness: low ball possession rate (38.6% per game), large loopholes in set ball defense (3 goals conceded in two games of group stage)

Ain

High pressure pressing + cross from the wing: Nominal 4-3-3, and in actual combat, it turns to 5-4-1 shrink defense. New aid Patricio has excellent goal line skills, but poor defense coordination (average 5.5 goals per game in the group stage). The offense relies on Rahimineche and Chadley's cross from the bottom, but the midfield's creativity is insufficient (0 goals in the group stage)

variables: 9 new players are not running-in and tactical execution is chaotic; the front line has outstanding personal ability but lack of cooperation

Winning and Loss Points:

Sablanca's Breakthrough on the Wing: Ain Ratnik's defensive experience on the left, Amrabat on the right is expected to create a threat

Ain's set-piece offense and defense: Casablanca's set-piece conceded high (5.8 shots per game), Ain's new central defender Zabala's heading ability is the key

mentality comparison: both teams have already made In the game, Casablanca is more willing to fight (Mordan Super League runner-up honorary battle), Ain's morale is sluggish (two net losses 11 goals)

Forecast:

First half deadlock: Both sides may be cautious in testing, Casablanca's main defense, Ain's ball possession rate is superior but its efficiency is low

The second half of the lineup determines the victory and loss: Casablanca will attack if it falls behind (home advantage psychology), Ain's physical fitness declines, and the defense is prone to collapse

Score tendency: Casablanca 1-0 or 1-1 (Ain's poor finishing ability, Casablanca's home resilience is 80%)

Thursday 004 Club World Cup Salzburg vs Real Madrid

Match time: 2025-06-26 09:00

Salzburg

Cayergad Midfielder

Knee Injury (May) Organization Core Creativity Missing

Connaut Forward

hamstring strain (June 18) Speed ​​winger Counteratt Weapon

Real Madrid

Mbappe Forward

Acute gastroenteritis (admitted on June 20) Core scorer Absent from the group stage

Dani Carvajal Right back

Muscle strain (early June) Main line of defense

Militon Central defender

Knee Injury (April) Core defense Long-term absence

David Alaba Central defender

torn ligament (December 2024) Experienced leader Season reimbursement

Kamavenga Midfielder

Ankle sprain (June 22) All-round midfielder Absent the remaining group stage

Prediction starter and tactical analysis

Salzburg (4-4-2 high-pressure counterattack)

Brasvic (goalkeeper) Detic Baidu Blank Terditch (back)

Cappado Bistroup Yeo Droke (midfield)

Nene Dajim (forward)

Real Madrid (4-3-3 ball control penetration)

Courtois (goalkeeper)

Valverde Rudigo Nacho Mendy (Defender)

Ceballos Bellingham Modric (Midfield)

Rodrigo Enderick Vinicius (Forward)

Winning and Losing Key and Tactical Game

Salzburg

Tactical Core: Adopt a 4-4-2 formation, focusing on high-post pressing and fast vertical attack, midfielder Bistroup (No. 18) is responsible for stealing and passing the front line, and winger Cappado (No. 7) uses speed to break through the cross

Weakness: The defense line is compact, and he loses 1.2 per game in the last 5 games. Facing Real Madrid's strong attack on the sideline, it is easy to expose the gap

Real Madrid

Tactical adjustment: continues the 4-3-3 formation, but Mbappe is absent Force the offensive center to turn to Vinicius (cut inward from left) and Rodrigo (cross from right). The midfield relies on Bellingham's forward shot.

The influence of the new coach: Alonso tried the three-center-back system after taking office. "Structural oppression" may be used in stages in this game. Through the double midfielder's defense, the wingback will be forwarded at high speed during counterattacks. The impact of Mbappe's absence, Real Madrid only scored 2 goals in the group stage in the first two games, and the offensive efficiency has declined significantly. Mbappe's absence weakens the ability to finish the penalty area and depends on Vinicius (a hundred goals in Real Madrid this season) and Rodrigo's breakthroughs to create opportunities

Salzburg's promotion pressure

Salzburg must win and Leah's new moon cannot win to advance. The physical advantage of his young lineup (average age of 23) may be strong in the second half, but his historical confrontation disadvantages are great (a 1-5 defeat to Real Madrid in the Champions League in January)

Real Madrid's defense line stability;

Courtois is in a stable comeback, but Real Madrid has conceded 1.1 goals per game in the last five games, and Rudiger needs to deal with Salzburg's repeated impact. Insufficient midfield control, it is easy to be penetrated by the opponent's counterattack

Real Madrid has the advantage: crushing strength (1.36 billion euros vs. 200 million euros in Salzburg) and winning all historical confrontations, but beware of high temperature weather (the temperature in Philadelphia was as high as 40 degrees that day) causing physical fitness to decline

Updated possible: If Salzburg scores first, it may shrink its defense line to fight back: If Real Madrid cannot defeat for a long time, its mentality may give its opponent an opportunity to take advantage of

Note: The article is only the initial view, and the time is earlier due to the possible impact of data changes on the results. Please refer carefully. It is more stable on the spot. Next, there is a left small corner center of gravity analysis. It is more stable on the spot.