Sunday 010 Euro-National League Germany vs France event analysis

1. The team's recent status and injuries

Germany team

Recent status:

3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 6 games, scoring 15 goals and conceding 7 goals, and is strong at home (4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 6 home games, scoring 19 goals and conceding 5 goals).

has efficient offense (5 consecutive goals, averaging 2.8 goals per game), but the defense has declined (average of 1.75 goals per game in the last 4 games, losing 1-2 to Portugal in the last round exposed the loophole).

Injury impact:

Midfielder Amiri left the team due to an adductor injury, weakening his midfield interception ability; Musiara was not selected for the roster.

French team

Recent status:

3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 6 games, scoring 11 goals and conceding 9 goals, with great ups and downs (3 wins, 3 losses in the last 6 away games, and losing streaks in the last 2 away games).

Offense relies on Mbappe (1 goal and 1 assist against Spain in the last round) and star Serki (1 goal and 1 assist in the substitute), but the defense collapsed (conceding 5 goals in a single game in the last round, setting a worst record in 56 years).

Injury impact:

Main guards Conde and Saliba are absent due to injury, and the stability of the defense is worrying.

Comparison of recent key data of the two teams:

Indicator Germany and France have 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, 3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, home games, 4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, 3 away games, 3 losses, 3 losses, 3 losses, averaging 2.5 goals, 1.83 goals per game, 1.17 goals per game, 1.5 goals, core injuries, Amiri (midfielder), Comte and Saliba (backer)

2. Historical confrontation record

Overall confrontation

Both sides have 31 official matches in history, France has a slight advantage in 14 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses, but in the last 6 confrontations, Germany has a complete balance of power. Key matches of the

Competition: France wins: Eliminate Germany 2-0 in the semi-finals of the 2016 European Cup; wins the 3-0 in the 1998 World Cup final.

German wins: Eliminate France by 1/0 in the 2014 World Cup; wins both the 1982 and 1986 World Cup semi-finals.

Recent direct dialogue

German has the psychological advantage: 2-0 away games in the 2024 friendly match, 2-1 double defeat in France at home in 2023, but lost 0-1 in the 2021 European Cup.

Tactical style: Germany's ball possession rate exceeds 60% focuses on passing control, while France relies on Mbappe's counterattack speed, but both sides are prone to losing the ball due to defensive mistakes.

3. Mainstream prediction results

result tendency

The highest probability of a draw: close strength + obvious defensive loopholes, more than 60% of the analysis recommends a "draw" or "France's unbeaten acquisition".

Perhaps for victory and loss:

German advantage: home firepower + historical psychological advantage, but the problem of defensiveness on the wing is required.

French Opportunities: Stars’ personal ability (Mbappe) + counterattack efficiency, but lack of away game stability.

Score and goal prediction

High score orientation: ≥3 goals (3 total goals in the last 5 matches ≥3 goals), recommended scores: 2-2, 3-2.