Sunday 009 Eredivisie [Niemegen vs. Alkmaar] score prediction

United Eredivisie: Nijmegen vs Alkmaar Score prediction

Nijmegen 1-2 Alkmaar

Core analysis

1. Comparison of league situation and intention

Nijmegen: Ranked 7th, gained 23 points (2025-2026 season), home record 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, and home advantage

Alkmaar: Ranked 5th, gained 28 points, away record 4 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss, and has strong away competitiveness

Fighting intention assessment: Nijmegen strives to return to the European War Zone at home; Alkmaar has secured his European seat away, and his intention is comparable

2. Comparison of home and away performance and status

vs. Nijmegen Alkmaer's advantage side has won 2 wins 0 draws 3 in the last 5 games in the last 5 games, lost 2-3 in the last round, Helenfin's last 9 games, 7 wins 2 draws 0 in the last round, and 3-3 in the last round, Feyenoord Alkmaer's offensive efficiency averaged 3.2 goals at home, 4th highest away game, 2.4 goals at home, 8th highest away game, 2.0 goals at home, 12th worst away game, 1.4 goals at the league, 7th best Alkmaer's ball-control ability is 62% per game, 56% per game at home, and more conservative Nijmegen's away game

3. Historical confrontations and psychological advantages

have last 7 encounters, Alkmaer has won 5 wins 0 draw 2 Loss, obvious psychological advantage

Latest confrontation (March 2025): Nijmegen 3-3 Alkmal, Nijmegen equalized at home

Alkmal has 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss away

4. Tactical characteristics and style collision

Nijmegen Tactics: 4-3-3/4-2-3-1 Formation, possession rate 62%, main focus on wing breakthroughs + middle penetration

Midfielder core Cheri (No. 9) Controls the rhythm, 3 goals and 2 assists, is the key to offensive organization

Breakthrough on the wing, averages 17.6 passes per game, 5th in the league High

is more active at home: strengthen high-pressure and increase offensive level

Alkmaar tactics: 4-2-3-1/4-3-3 formation, ball possession rate 56%, focus on defensive counterattack + cross from the wing

midfielder double midfield cut off the opponent's passing line, averaging 18 steals per game, the third highest in the league

crossing from the wing

averaged 6 Second corner kick, pay more attention to defensive stability away game

away game tactics are more conservative: shrink the defense line, reduce the ball control, focus on defense and counterattack

Tactical collision: Nijmegen's ball control style and breakthrough on the wing just restrain Alkmaar's dense defense in the middle; Alkmaar's away game focuses more on defensive counterattacks, and may use the spaces pressed by Nijmegen to create threats

5. Core players and injuries

Nijmegen core:

Cheri (No. 9): Midfield core, 3 goals and 2 assists, strong organization and dispatch ability

Miginan (No. 10): a good player on the side, 5 shots are directed, which is the key to offense

Honda Sano (No. 23): Midfield defensive core, 31 Resolved, high defensive stability

Alkmaar core:

Medink: sharp forward, scored consecutive goals recently, sharp smell in front of the goal

Penetra: forward, scored against Hercules, strong impact

Keis Smit: core midfielder, 2 assists, excellent organizational ability

Nijmegen: Bram Nuidink (knee injury), substitute player

Alkmaar: Shengya, each Xiong (knee injury), substitute player

Impact assessment: The two teams have mild injuries, and the core lineup is complete

6. Gambling data and professional forecast

Asian handicap: Alkmaar **-0.25 goals **, the water level is moderate, the market is slightly optimistic about the hospitality team

European losses data: Nijmegen wins 3.08, draws 3.90, and Alkmaar wins 2.11

Professional consensus: Most analytical institutions predict that Alkmaar wins 1-2 goals, and the winning rate is generally between **55%-65%**

Conclusion

Comprehensive analysis shows that Alkmaar will beat Nijmegen 2-1 away. The main basis is as follows:

The difference in recent state and stability: Alkmaar has remained unbeaten in 7 wins and 2 draws in the last 9 games, and his defense is more stable (conceding only 4 goals in his last 6 games); Nijmegen's state fluctuates greatly in recent days, and there are obvious loopholes in the defensive end

Psychological advantages of historical confrontation: Alkmaar has won 5 wins against Nijmegen in the last 7 times, forming a clear psychological advantage; although he drew in the last confrontation, Alkmaar has shown strong competitiveness away from home

Tactical style complementary: Alkmaar's defensive counterattack tactics are just targeting Nijmegen's weakness of large offensive investment and volatile defensive position; Nijmegen's ball control advantage is difficult to play when facing Alkmaar's midfield interception

away combat ability: Alkmaar's away record is 4 wins, 3 draws 1 Loss, balanced offense and defense; although Nijmegen is strong at home, facing Alkmaar in better shape, the advantage will be weakened

The game will show Nijmegen's dominant ball control and Alkmaar's defensive counterattack. Nijmegen is expected to take advantage of his home court and a wing break, with Cheri or Miginan leading the goal. Alkmaar may rely on the cooperation of Medink and Penetra's forward line to score two goals in the second half to reverse the score. In the end, Alkmaar defeated Nijmegen 2-1 away with better tactical execution and defensive stability..

Score prediction: Nijmegen 1-2 Alkmaar