Porto vs Morellens

1. Team fundamentals and recent states

Porto (4th place in the Portuguese Super League)

Overall performance: 31 rounds of the league this season have achieved 19 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses, with 62 points, and have balanced performance on both offense and defense (scoring 57 goals and conceding 28 goals), with an average of 1.84 goals and conceding 0.9 goals, and both offense and defense efficiency ranks among the top in the league.

Home dominance: The home winning rate is as high as 73.3% (15 games 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss), and has won all home games in the last 7 main games, including 5 of which have at least 2 goals, showing strong home suppression.

Recent status: Losing 0-2 to Amadora away in the last round of the league, ending two consecutive victories, but the overall morale of the team was not significantly affected and he still fought for the top three in the standings.

Morelens (10th place in the Portuguese Super League)

Overall performance: 9 wins, 9 draws and 13 losses in 31 rounds of the league, 36 points, and mediocre offense and defense (scoring 36 goals and conceding 45 goals), averaging 1.16 goals and conceding 1.45 goals, with obvious defensive loopholes.

Away disadvantage: The away win rate is only 20% (15 games, 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses), only 1 away game in the last 6 leagues, and averaged 1.6 goals per game, and the defense of the wing and top of the arc is weak.

Recent status: After drew 1-1 with Portugal Nationals at home in the last round, the league failed to win for three consecutive rounds (1 draw and 2 losses), and its condition was sluggish. Although the pressure to relegate was small, there was a lack of fighting spirit.

2. Historical confrontations and psychological advantages

Absolute suppression: In the last 15 confrontations, Porto has remained unbeaten with 12 wins and 3 draws, won all the last 5 times and won their opponents with many big scores (such as a 5-0 home victory in January 2024).

Recent matches: In the quarter-finals of the Portuguese Cup this season, Porto defeated Morelens 2-0 away, continuing his psychological advantage.

3. Institutional handicap and data support

Initial handicap: Mainstream institutions generally open Porto to get one goal/half ball (the main wins low water), and the subsequent part rises to half set, showing that confidence in the home team is enhanced.

Data tendency:

Large ball probability: 4 games in the last 5 matches, total goals ≥3 goals, combined with the defensive loophole of Morelens (per-game conceded 1.45 goals), the handicap of the 2.5 goals is worth paying attention to.

Half-game trend: Porto's lead in the last seven home games exceeded 70%, and Morelens' away half-time conceded a rate of 83